This study found that the predictive capability of the commonly used Burning Index was quite limited and proposed an index with improved predictive ability for Los Angeles County, California.
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Schoenberg, F. P., C. H. Chang, J. E. Keeley, J. Pompa, J. Woods, and H. Xu. 2007. A critical assessment of the Burning Index in Los Angeles County, California. Internatiional Journal of Wildland Fire:473-483.